issue 001 · May 3, 2026 · live · onchain

Crypto + prediction markets,
simplified.

Real markets. Real bets. Real wins (and losses) — explained for people who are just getting started. One short email a week. No noise.

weekly digest · markets, bets, and tools that make money simple · no spam, unsubscribe anytime

covering polymarket built for beginners public bet log
  • 3 markets tracked
  • $0 profit · live count
  • 0% win rate · live
  • 7 channels live

[ live · public · onchain ]

Bet log

Every position I take on Polymarket — entry price, size, and thesis. No edits. No hindsight.

3tracking
0open
0won
0lost
TRACKING #003

Fed cuts rates by 50bps before September 2026

YES [macro]
entry
$0.34
size
$50
upside
1.9x

Watching CPI print May 14 before entering

resolves 2026-09-30
TRACKING #002

BTC closes above $120,000 by Dec 31, 2026

YES [crypto]
entry
$0.62
size
$75
upside
0.6x

Halving cycle + ETF flows thesis

resolves 2026-12-31
TRACKING #001

A US president issues a crypto-related pardon by July 2026

YES [politics]
entry
$0.28
size
$30
upside
2.6x

Asymmetric upside, low cost to be wrong

resolves 2026-07-31

[ why meta·matos ]

Most crypto content is noise. This isn't.

No "wen lambo." No "100x gem." No paid pumps. Just the markets I'm actually putting money in, why I'm in them, and what happens — published live, in plain English.

  • Real bets, real numbers. Every position public. Wins and losses, no curation.
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